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Team Riley, Gary and Drew Riley
Spa Realty, Inc.
1429 Central Ave
Hot Springs AR 71901
501-627-2100
Fax: 501-623-6487

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Stock market report 2/7/08. Real Estate market report 2/7/08.

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- U.S. stocks on Thursday pulled mostly higher, with investors brushing off early declines in an attempt to reverse course after three days of losses, with Cisco Systems' cautious outlook weighing on technology shares.
Chart of $INDU
After sliding at the start, the Dow Jones Industrial Average recently was up about 18 points to 12,220.3, with 18 of its 30 components trading higher. The gains were led by Home Depot Inc. (HD:
Home Depot, Inc
 Last: 28.38+0.73+2.64%
11:16am 02/07/2008
Delayed quote data
Sponsored by:
HD
 28.38, +0.73, +2.6%)
, up 3.4%.
Among the blue chips, Wal-Mart Stores (WMT:
Wal-Mart Stores, Inc
 Last: 48.99+0.16+0.33%
11:16am 02/07/2008
Delayed quote data
Sponsored by:
WMT
 48.99, +0.16, +0.3%)
shares edged lower after the planet's biggest retailer led a slew of U.S.-based retailers reporting a miserable start to the year. Read more.
"The Cisco earnings and weaker-than-expected Wal-Mart sales were the early downside catalysts," said Elliot Spar, option/market strategist at Stifel Nicolaus & Co.
The S&P 500 ($SPX:
S&P 500 Index
 Last: 1,325.52-0.93-0.07%
11:36am 02/07/2008
Delayed quote data
Sponsored by:
$SPX
 1,325.52, -0.93, -0.1%)
gained 5.35 points to 1,331.8, while the Nasdaq Composite (COMP:
COMP
Sponsored by:
COMP
, , )
shed 0.75 points to 2,278.
Volume on the New York Stock Exchange came to 383 million, and advancing stocks outran those declining 4 to 3. On the Nasdaq, 787 million shares exchanged hands, and decliners topped advancers 7 to 6.
Other Thursday data included a report from the National Association of Realtors, which said sales of existing homes fell 1.5% in December, marking a second monthly drop. Read more.
"The data are worse that forecast, but not really a surprise as the housing market remains weak and looks to remain so through at least mid-year, with many economists not seeing much stabilization until later this year," said analysts at Action Economics.
Shares of Cisco Systems (CSCO:
Cisco Systems, Inc
 Last: 22.50-0.58-2.51%
11:21am 02/07/2008
Delayed quote data
Sponsored by:
CSCO
 22.50, -0.58, -2.5%)
were down more than 3% after the networking giant forecast 10% revenue growth in the fiscal third quarter, against the 15% rise that analysts had expected. Fiscal second-quarter profit rose 7%
"What began as a slowdown in the U.S. in the second quarter is now spreading, as both U.S. and Europe saw unexpected softness in January," said Richard Windsor, an analyst for Nomura International. "This is particularly troubling as North America and Europe make up 70% of its revenue."
Crude also continued its prior day's declines, with oil futures falling 44 cents to $86.70 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. See Futures Movers.
Also on the Nymex, gold futures for April delivery dropped $1.10 to $903.9 an ounce. Read Metals Stocks.
Before the opening bell, the Labor Department said jobless claims fell last week but also revised the prior week's count higher, with continuing claims at their highest level in more than two years. Read Economic Report.
'This is the stuff recessions are made of.'
Kevin Giddis, Morgan Keegan & Co.
"The average monthly consumer credit numbers are falling but delinquencies are rising. This is not the stuff that economic rebounds are made of. This is the stuff recessions are made of," said Giddis.
Overseas, the Bank of England cut rates 25 basis points to 5.25%.
The move came in reply to "slower consumer spending and a weakening housing market," said Wachovia Corp. analyst Jill Trainor.
The European Central Bank, however, held its key rate steady at 4%, with ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet telling a news conference that while data have confirmed the bank's view that economic risks are weighted to the downside, inflation remains the key concern.
On Wednesday, stocks closed with losses for a third consecutive day after a Federal Reserve official indicated inflation worries could limit future interest-rate cuts. End of Story
Kate Gibson is a reporter for MarketWatch, based in New York.

Crime Rate report for city of Hot Springs

So this is just a link to a graph of the Crime Rate report, but its a move in the right direction and nice to hear for a change.

http://hsbor.fnismls.com/Paragon/AssociatedDocs/HSBOR/MLSSharedDocs/Crime%20Rate%20Report/Crime%20Rate%20Report%202007.pdf

Crime Rate report

Lower Interest Rates. More to come??

Fed cuts by half-point, hinting at more to come
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- Fearing that financial-market turmoil and a weak housing market could cause the economy to spiral downward, the Federal Reserve moved aggressively Wednesday for the second time in eight days to lower interest rates and signaled it was ready to do more as needed.
The central bank lowered the federal funds rate by 50 basis points to 3%. Financial markets were hoping that the Fed would decide to cut rates by this amount. The Fed has cut rates by 1.25 percentage points in eight days, almost unheard of in central banking history.
The Fed hopes that the aggressive rate cuts will help the economy weather a period of weakness marked by falling home prices brought on by the subprime credit crisis, weaker consumer spending, higher energy costs and softening job growth. The strength of the moves suggested to some that the central bank is concerned that the economic picture could get even darker in the short-term.
The Fed can't stop a downturn, but can help it be short and shallow rather than prolonged.
Some economists are worried that the central bank may be too late to rescue the economy from a long slump.
"Growth is clearly way, way, below trend. The economy, if not at a halt, is very close to it, and because of the state of financial markets, because of the state of housing and because of the credit crunch it could stay there for some time," said Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics, in an interview.
The Fed also announced that it was cutting its discount rate, the interest it charges on direct loans it makes to banks, by a half-point to 3.5%.
In a statement, the Fed said that downside risks to growth remain, and that it would act in a timely manner to address them.
The Fed said that the rate cuts taken to date should promote 'moderate growth over time.'
"Financial markets remain under considerable stress, and credit has tightened further for some businesses and households," according to the central bank. "Moreover, recent information indicates a deepening of the housing contraction as well as some softening in labor markets." Read the FOMC statement
Stocks jumped as soon as the Fed cut was announced. See full story. The dollar got hit hard. See full story.
There was one dissenter: Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher said he did not think that the Fed should have lowered rates at all.
There was only a passing reference to inflation. The Fed said that it expects inflation to moderate in coming quarters, but also said it would watch the situation carefully.
The Fed has now cut rates five times by a cumulative 2.25 percentage points. Many Wall Street economists now think rates will have to go to 2.5% by spring to stave off a potentially serious recession.
The next two formal FOMC meetings are scheduled for March 18 and April 29 to 30.
Joseph Brusuelas, U.S. chief economist at IDEAglobal, said that the Fed statement was "a vast improvement" from previous efforts to communicate with the market. "The Fed signaled to the market that it realizes the severity of the problems in the financial system and the prospects for growth."
Past Fed statements had minimized the concern about the economic outlook.
"There was no waffling. The Fed didn't try to have it both ways. More rates cuts were clearly signaled," Brusuelas added.
In the past, many economists had viewed the FOMC statement as compromise language designed to appeal to both hawks and doves on the panel. The FOMC appears now to be moving away from this approach. Some Fed watchers believe Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is asserting his leadership over the policy-making panel.
Economists detected some effort by the Fed to cool expectations that the Fed would slash interest rates in coming months.

Todays Hot Springs Market Update

So Hot Springs is still a fairly active, strong market.  Plain and simple the "scare" of rest of the U.S. housing market has had limited effect on the Real Estate market here.  Yes we have seen some slow down, but after 5 of the greatest years in history, it had to slow down sometime.  We feel the local market will see an increase in the number oflistings (homes for sale) and a slight downward adjustment in pricing.  This is good news for buyers obviously, but sellers need not panic, as the favorable conditions for buyers to be looking means if your priced right, and have the right marketing in place, you will sell quickly and for close to list price!  

If you have been looking for investment property, or property to flip, you feel like there's nothing out there, or only properties that are in need of more work than your looking for, be patient, there should be an increase in the number of potential flips and investments next year.  As some of this 'sub-prime' market loans find there way to foreclosures there should be some good stuff to pick from.  This is a dog-eat-dog part of real estate and you need an aggressive, informed agent to stay on top of the list and know whats coming on and be ready and able to move quickly. 

Lake property will continue to be desireable, but a more educated buyer is going to be price cautious, so pricing it right up front will lead to better results in the end.  Read my blog on overpricing and see why! 

The condo market is the one that is the unknown out there.  There are still developments going up and plenty of units to pick from.  Ground level, walk-in, lakefront, lakeview, 1/2/ and 3 bedroom units are everywhere....in other words the market will have to grow into the 'pool' of available units.  This is not really a concern as the units are desireable in finish and location and the overall desireablity of Hot Springs itself will help fill them up.  The real issue is boat-docks.  With Entergy electric companies new regulations on boat-docks there is a limited number of slips available, and new construction has stricter guidelines you must follow. 

Market update

So, whomever said we are ina Real Estate slump, hasn't been to Hot Springs.  Take a look around, commercial building going on everywhere, interest rates are still very reasonable, people are still buying and selling.  Yes it has slowed down some, all things go up and down, but it is NOT dead.

I've noticed at our office meetings, there are still properties going under contract and closing, and yes plenty of listings.  There is an abundance of homes in some tough price ranges for buyers to meet, but still homes that "fall" into the less than $150,000 range are doing well.  Personally I am having a slower year, but still a good year overall. 

Lake inventory is where I am looking for some help.  I've got plenty looking to buy on the water, most even willing to pay for it, but not much to show.....HELP!  Know someone buying or selling please let them know about me or vise versa! 

Investors....those "afraid" of the housing market are going to rent....they need homes to rent......rent market has remained strong, although I don't want to manage any more properties (exeptions possible) I'd love to sell you some investment property.

Call today for your personal, confidential market analysis and see what your home is worth...or call and see what the house down the street sold for.  Don't want to talk....visit www.myhotspringshomevalue.com and get it fast, FREE, and without having to speak with an agent.

 

Team Riley, Gary and Drew Riley
Spa Realty, Inc.
1429 Central Ave
Hot Springs AR 71901
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Last modified 9/6/2010